GOP’s Electoral Cliff

February 18, 2015

Published on TheHill.com on February 17, 2015

The 3.9 percentage point margin by which President Obama defeated Mitt Romney in 2012 clouds the challenge the Republicans face in 2016. Unless they are able to improve their standing by 5 to 6 points in the key electoral states, they cannot win.


Volatility In GOP Race

February 11, 2015

Published on TheHill.com on February 10, 2015

The Republican primary contest that is emerging for the 2016 presidential nomination is unusual for its extreme sensitivity to events and the slightest efforts by likely candidates to promote their causes.


Scott Walker Could Win

February 4, 2015

Published on TheHill.com on February 3, 2015

Scott Walker is the only ambidextrous candidate in the Republican field. He appeals equally to the Republican establishment and the Tea Party/evangelical wingers.

All other candidates fit neatly in one or the other box.


Romney Exit May Actually Hurt Bush

January 30, 2015

At first blush, one would have to assume that former Governor Jeb Bush is the most likely beneficiary of Mitt Romney’s decision to bow out of a race in 2016. But that may not be the case.

Were Romney and Bush both to have run, it would be fair to assume that their combined vote share in the early primaries might approach or even exceed a majority of the voters.


Obama Resurrects Cold War CIA Tactics Against Netanyahu

January 30, 2015

In the 50s, 60s, and 70s, when the U.S. government wanted to influence outcomes in foreign democracies, the CIA would pump money into the coffers of their favored parties and dispatch experts to try to steer their campaigns.


Good Momentum For Override Of Obama Iran Sanctions Veto

January 29, 2015

Despite Administration spin to the contrary, backers of tougher economic sanctions on Iran (should it fail to curtail its nuclear program) report steady progress in attracting Democratic support.


Hillary’s Iran Problem

January 28, 2015

Published on TheHill.com on January 27, 2015

The high-profile battle over congressional efforts to extend and strengthen sanctions against Iran if it fails to dismantle its nuclear weapons program has ominous implications for Hillary Clinton’s likely candidacy for the White House.


Obama: After Sasha And Malia, No More Ed Tax Breaks

January 26, 2015

President Obama continued his war on private and nonprofit colleges this week with his State of the Union proposal to end the tax free status of withdrawals from 529 college funds. As a result, were his bill to pass, taxpayers would face full taxation when they take their money out to pay for their children’s’ college.


Hillary’s Fundraising Ability Will Become A Vulnerability

January 23, 2015

In an effort to scare other potential Democratic candidates out of the race, Hillary’s donors and bundlers are boasting that they will overwhelm the nation with the most massive financial coffer ever assembled for an American political campaign.


Terror Goal: Behavior Modification Of The West

January 22, 2015

President Obama and British Prime Minister David Cameron both missed the point in their characterization of the terror attacks in Europe.

Obama was way off the mark calling it “violent extremism” “terrorism” but studiously avoiding the mention of Islam.


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