Published on TheHill.com on February 24, 2015
Governors can usually have it their own way. An activist governor, like Wisconsin’s Scott Walker, can flood the news with bold proposals and usurp all the attention the media has to give. Nobody is going to ask him about same-sex marriage when tens of thousands of screaming union members are occupying the state Capitol, refusing to let legislators in to take their seats.
In his efforts to break free of the legacy of the Bush 43 presidency, Jeb reminds one of Michelangelo’s slave statues struggling against their stone fetters. Try as they might, they remain bound to the stone from whence they came.
Published on TheHill.com on February 17, 2015
The 3.9 percentage point margin by which President Obama defeated Mitt Romney in 2012 clouds the challenge the Republicans face in 2016. Unless they are able to improve their standing by 5 to 6 points in the key electoral states, they cannot win.
Published on TheHill.com on February 10, 2015
The Republican primary contest that is emerging for the 2016 presidential nomination is unusual for its extreme sensitivity to events and the slightest efforts by likely candidates to promote their causes.
Published on TheHill.com on February 3, 2015
Scott Walker is the only ambidextrous candidate in the Republican field. He appeals equally to the Republican establishment and the Tea Party/evangelical wingers.
All other candidates fit neatly in one or the other box.
At first blush, one would have to assume that former Governor Jeb Bush is the most likely beneficiary of Mitt Romney’s decision to bow out of a race in 2016. But that may not be the case.
Were Romney and Bush both to have run, it would be fair to assume that their combined vote share in the early primaries might approach or even exceed a majority of the voters.
In the 50s, 60s, and 70s, when the U.S. government wanted to influence outcomes in foreign democracies, the CIA would pump money into the coffers of their favored parties and dispatch experts to try to steer their campaigns.
Despite Administration spin to the contrary, backers of tougher economic sanctions on Iran (should it fail to curtail its nuclear program) report steady progress in attracting Democratic support.
Published on TheHill.com on January 27, 2015
The high-profile battle over congressional efforts to extend and strengthen sanctions against Iran if it fails to dismantle its nuclear weapons program has ominous implications for Hillary Clinton’s likely candidacy for the White House.
President Obama continued his war on private and nonprofit colleges this week with his State of the Union proposal to end the tax free status of withdrawals from 529 college funds. As a result, were his bill to pass, taxpayers would face full taxation when they take their money out to pay for their children’s’ college.