Published on FoxNews.com on December 7, 2007.
Bill Clinton’s poll ratings are very high so Hillary figures he can be of great help to her on the campaign trail. So far, so good – but then they extrapolate that view and conclude that he would be a good person to make her negative attacks on opponents, to answer charges against her and to take the media to task for their coverage. And that’s where they are wrong.
What was the international pressure and scrutiny that made Iran terminate its bomb building project in 2003? The National Intelligence Estimate specified that such pressure was the key factor in the alteration of course, but it failed to identify what pressure led to the change. There were no UN sanctions on the table back then and the diplomatic effort by Germany, France, and the UK was only just beginning. The pressure was obviously the US led invasion of next door Iraq. So give our troops and the Bush Administration credit. The invasion has not only led to Libya’s decision to cancel its bomb projects but to Iran’s as well. If the NIE is accurate, and we all have our doubts, then Bush should be making it clear that the turnaround in Teheran is due to the invasion.
Published on TheHill.com on December 5, 2007.
It now seems possible, and some would say probable, that both front-runners for their party nominations will be wiped out in the early caucuses and primaries. It may well be that neither Hillary Clinton nor Rudy Giuliani win anything before the Florida primary on Jan. 29.
Not only has Hillary lost her lead in Iowa, but she is way down in New Hampshire too. In October, she averaged (5 polls) a 19 pt lead over Obama. In early and mid November, her lead dropped to an average (5 polls) of 13 pts. In the polls at the end of November, her lead is down to an average (4 polls) of 9 points with the two most recent surveys — Rasmussen and Fox News — showing her lead at 7 pts.
Given the sharpness of her drop, it is likely that a loss in Iowa would cost her New Hampshire as well.
Published on FoxNews.com on November 30, 2007.
This is not a good time to be Mitt Romney. After almost a year of having the Iowa and New Hampshire airwaves to himself, he is now facing a challenge on the right from Mike Huckabee and Fred Thompson and on the left from Rudy Giuliani.
Pressed from both sides, he is leaking votes. Where once a sweep of the table of the early states (Iowa, New Hampshire, Michigan and South Carolina) appeared in the cards, he is now looking at a possible defeat in Iowa, derailing his plans.
There are several debates-within-debates going on in the GOP debate tonight:
Published on TheHill.com on November 28, 2007.
As Mike Huckabee rises in the polls, an inevitable process of vetting him for conservative credentials is under way in which people who know nothing of Arkansas or of the circumstances of his governorship weigh in knowingly about his record. As his political consultant in the early ’90s and one who has been following Arkansas politics for 30 years, let me clue you in: Mike Huckabee is a fiscal conservative.
Published in the New York Post on November 27, 2007.
As her once-formidable lead in national polls dwindles and Barack Obama moves ahead of her in the all-important Jan. 3 Iowa caucuses, Hillary Clinton will likely intensify her negative campaign against her rivals.
The Clintons’ political MO has always had a good dose of negative campaigning, especially when the going gets rough. There’s no reason to assume that they will alter their game plan now.
After months of coasting atop the national polls, seemingly unconcerned with the growth of Romney support in Iowa, New Hampshire, and Michigan, Rudy Giuliani has come down off his perch and attacked Romney during a campaign swing in New Hampshire. The switch represents an increasing dose of realism in the Giuliani campaign which is gradually coming to understand the impact of a Romney sweep of the first three primaries. Rudy’s best bet would be to help Huckabee win in Iowa. It is a bridge too far for Rudy to pull it out this late in the game and a Huckabee victory inIowa would not translate into the momentum Romney might need to win in N.H.. If Huckabee wins in Iowa, there will be a close three way fight in New Hampshire of Giuliani, Huckabee, and Romney. If Romney doesn’t win in New Hampshire, he will never be seen or heard from again.
Published on FoxNews.com on November 21, 2007.
Just when every poll has Hillary slipping, she has gotten a shot in the arm from a very unlikely source: President George W. Bush.
In an interview on Tuesday featuring the first couple and Charles Gibson, the president said of Mrs. Clinton “No question, there is no question that Sen. Clinton understands pressure better than any of the candidates, you know, in the race because she lived in the White House and sees it first – could see it first-hand.”