Carson Fades After Paris Bombing; Trump, Cruz Surge

By Dick Morris on November 19, 2015

In the wake of the ISIS Paris attacks, Donald Trump has moved to a clear lead over Ben Carson and the rest of the GOP field.

Carson’s laid back style and his reluctance to use force against terrorism — he said that he would not have sent troop stop Afghanistan after 9/11 — is costing him support in the post-Paris, post-debate polling.

In the six polls before the November 10th GOP debate and the Paris attacks on November 13th, Trump and Carson were tied at an average of 24 points each. In two poll since — by Bloomberg and PPP — Trump averages 25% while Carson fades to 20%.

In the aftermath of the debate and the terror attacks, Cruz and Rubio have both gained with the Texan doubling his vote share from an average of only 6% beforehand to 12% afterwards. Rubio also rose, but only from 11% to 12.5%.

Bush continues to languish in the second tier. Before the debate/attacks, he registered 6% in national polls and he has stayed there after them.

The surveys confirm the view that the race has boiled down to the final four: Trump, Carson, Rubio and Cruz.


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