A politician who is falling in the polls goes through a progression.
First the public comes to feel that problems like the economy are getting worse, but they still do not blame him.
Then, they come to blame him for the failure and his job approval goes down, but he still retains his personal favorability or popularity.
Finally, his personal favorability drops to match his job ratings as voters decide they just don’t like him.
This is the story of Joe Biden’s presidency since the midterms.
Biden was saved in the 2022 midterm elections by what turned out to be a purely transitory improvement in his job approval.
Impelled by what appeared to be congressional action in the passage of the misnamed anti-inflation act of the summer of 22, his job approval, which had been languishing at 36%, rose to 42%.
Since then Americans learned that they had been fooled and that there had not been any real economic progress at all.
His job approval began its descent to 40% in January, 35% in May, and 32% now (according to CNN).
The sunny summer of 2022, when Biden peaked, got him through the midterm elections with only limited damage. There was no “red wave.”
However, as reality set in, his job approval fell rapidly.
But his personal favorability or popularity remained higher than his job approval.
People liked him even if they disapproved of his performance in office.
But now, the revelations of accusations of receiving money improperly, the Hunter Biden scandals, his increasing physical disability and his obvious mental inability to cope with today’s problems are taking their toll on his personal popularity.
In the June poll by McLaughlin and Associates, Biden had sunk to all time lows both in job approval and in personal favorability.
Any politician can recover from bad job ratings — they can always do a better job.
But once the job disapproval has crept into his personal favorability it’s hard to recover.
It’s easier to convince people that your job performance has improved than it is to tell them that you have become a better man or woman.
So Biden’s political troubles are mounting to a point where he cannot redeem himself. He is becoming unelectable.
But, in an act that can only be compared to ritual suicide, the Democratic Party remains wed to him.
They are not prepared to drop him. Their stubbornness will come in history to rank among the grossest examples of political stupidity,
Let’s put the last few weeks in perspective.
Trump was arrested and then indicted in two separate scandals and his ratings improved. Biden is still immune from censure by his biased Justice Department, but his numbers have dropped.
There is a God.
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