Signs of an unmistakable Republican trend are brightening the chances of a GOP takeover of the US Senate. Yesterday, a new Rasmussen Poll showed Republican Dino Rossi one point ahead of incumbent Senator Patty Murray. The Rossi lead – obviously within the margin of error – came after he had trailed by three points in previous polling.
Most significantly, Rossi led by two points among those who had already voted using Washington State’s early voting option. Murray led by a point among those who had not yet cast their ballots (some of whom would presumably never do so).
Published on TheHill.com on October 26, 2010
As congressmen and senators face the electorate next week, millions of votes will turn on one simple question: Did he (she) take the pledge? The pledge to repeal ObamaCare.
In recent weeks, Democratic candidates have been profuse in their determination to “fix” ObamaCare. West Virginia Gov. Joe Manchin ran an ad saying he was going to repeal “the bad parts of ObamaCare.” With such sleight-of-hand efforts to blunt the GOP’s best issue, the question needs to be put to all incumbents and their challengers: Are you willing to take the pledge?
Here’s the pledge, as formulated by www.theRepealPledge.com:
A Book Review By DICK MORRIS of The New Road to Serfdom: A Letter of Warning to America by Daniel Hannan
From the clutches of European Socialism comes the warning cry of Dan Hannan, a Conservative member of the European Parliament from Britain. Hannan, who achieved celebrity in the United States for his pithy denunciations of statism, celebrates what is magnificent in the American example and warns us against letting it be subsumed by a growing government and Obama-esque socialism.
The Cook Political Report (which is the best there is, but tends to run a little behind) lists 23 Democratic House seats as now likely or leaning Republican. We will win all of those.
And it lists 47 seats now held by Democrats as tossup. I am working in about half of these districts and I believe we will win virtually all of these seats.
That makes 70. Then, he lists 46 Democratic seats as leaning or likely Democrat but not solidly so. That’s where we need to concentrate our fire.
My organization, SuperPacUSA.com is targeting 24 seats from this list in television ad buys now going on the air set to run until Election Day. Each voter will see our ad about 7-10 times, so I think they will help us to win almost all of these races.
Published in the New York Post on October 21, 2010
New York state’s congressional dele gation could see huge changes in the midterm elections. A virtual purge of Democrats is quite possible, with as many as 11 seats changing hands.
New York is traditionally a late-deciding state because of the high cost of media here and the late primaries, so these races are coming into focus only now. The key question: Will the absurd state of the governor’s race depress the “change” vote — or will New Yorkers opt to send a message further down the ticket?
Published on TheHill.com on October 19, 2010
A fundamental change is gripping the Republican grass roots as they animate the GOP surge to a major victory in the 2010 elections. No longer do evangelical or social issues dominate the Republican ground troops. Now economic and fiscal issues prevail. The Tea Party has made the Republican Party safe for libertarians.
There is still a litmus test for admission to the Republican Party. But no longer is it dominated by abortion, guns and gays. Now, keeping the economy free of government regulation, reducing taxation and curbing spending are the chemicals that turn the paper pink.
Things are moving fast and we now have a solid chance to defeat some high value targets: House Banking Committee Chairman Barney Frank and the other Democratic leaders. Defeating these top Democrats would send a huge signal to the nation and would deprive the Democrats of some of their top leadership. It would truly be a command and control strike!
To the chess fans among us, I say: “Enough of the pawns. Lets go for some rooks, castles, and bishops. That way we can bring down their queen and, in two years, checkmate the king.”
Apart from the sheer joy of beating these Congressmen, it will make clear that we do not like what they have done to us.
Frank, more than anyone else except possibly Chris Dodd, is responsible for our financial mess. For a decade, he blocked Bush’s efforts to rein in Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. Eileen and I wrote about this in our 2007 book Outrage and predicted that it would lead to a financial collapse. But Frank didn’t listen and now he seeks to evade responsibility. We want to run an ad explaining the facts to his district.
We will use your donations for these high value targets and to pursue Project 100, our effort to win one hundred seats in the House.
We are currently using your past donations to target seven Congressman and are about to hit nine more. Your donations will help us go after Frank and a bunch of other Democrats who we can defeat!
Thanks for your help,
Democrats have no message as the election approaches.
Published on National Review Online on October 18, 2010
A pattern is emerging in the 2010 midterm elections that is repeating itself in scores of districts and a dozen states throughout the nation. The rhythm of the races is becoming clear.
Because the Obama agenda proved so unpopular, Republicans opened the Senate and Congressional races of 2010 in surprisingly good shape. Districts that were supposed to have safe Democratic incumbents generated polls showing unexpectedly competitive races, even against unknown Republican challengers. Marginal Democratic seats actually tended to open their campaigns under water — behind their GOP challengers.
This election season, fiscal conservatives own the GOP grassroots.
Published on National Review Online on October 7, 2010
The coalition Ronald Reagan assembled of fiscal and economic conservatives, evangelicals, and national-security advocates has always been dominated by the social issues at the grassroots level. While free-market economic conservatives lived in New York and dutifully attended their Club for Growth meetings and national-security types inhabited Washington, the Republican social conservatives dominated the grassroots of the party. They alone could turn out the numbers to rallies and to the polls on primary or Election Day.
Published in the New York Post on October 13, 2010
The single most amazing thing in this year’s campaigns is that no one is defending President Obama’s legislative accomplishments.
Obama’s impact has been revolutionary: radically changing our health-care system, betting our national solvency on “stimulus,” erasing the line between the public and private sectors. Yet there is an almost total lack of support for his program on the stump.