Published on TheHill.com on November 9, 2010
President Obama’s last-ditch attempt to turn out his voter base worked — and changed the 2010 election from a tsunami of epic proportions into a mere catastrophe for the Democrats.
John Zogby’s post-election polling reveals that voters who made up their minds about how to vote within the last week voted Democrat by 57-31 while those who made up their minds earlier backed the Republican candidate, 53-44. Zogby’s data indicated that it made no difference whether the voter decided for whom to vote two or three weeks before the election or more than a month before. Both groups backed Republicans by 10 points. But those who decided in the voting booth or in the week immediately before voting backed the Democrat by large margins.
One of the first orders of business to come up in the new Republican-controlled House of Representatives will be the demand for bailouts of states where expenditures have been especially profligate – California, New York, Michigan, Illinois, and Connecticut. Throughout 2009 and 2010, these states governments have stayed above water by repeated infusions of federal cash. These one-shot stimulus payments must be repeated each year. They are all non-recurring expenditures requiring separate annual appropriations.
The Republican House must say no and hold the line, stopping this raid on the federal Treasury. The cry in the caucus must ring loud: “No More Bailouts!”
It took the Democrats two election cycles — 2006 and 2008 — to secure their overwhelming Congressional majorities and to recapture the White House. The Republican Party will likely complete its takeover in 2012. This model is far more likely than the 1995-96 model in which Bill Clinton came back from the dead.
In the Senate, there are many attractive targets for Republican attack, Senators who come from states where the GOP scored significant gains in the 2010 elections. They include:
Published in the New York Post on November 4, 2010
Now that President Obama has experienced the same baptism of fire as President Bill Clinton did in the 1994 midterm elections, the obvious question is: Will he move to the center in a bid to save his presidency and win re-election?
The move worked well for Clinton: He sought to combine the best aspects of each party’s program in a third approach that became known as triangulation.
I wanted, first of all, to thank you from the bottom of my heart for your massive support and the outpouring of funds and interest to back up my efforts on behalf of Super PAC for America. We have succeeded amazingly.
As background, I divided my efforts into two categories: there were races where I was personally involved advising the campaigns and working to help them raise money. There were others in which Super PAC was involved in independent efforts. I had no personal involvement in those races and was, therefore, able to raise funds for Super PAC for America (superpacusa.com) to make independent expenditures in those districts.
Tomorrow night, as the returns come in, log onto www.DickMorris.com and click on my audio updates. Several times each hour, I will be recording my thinking on the unfolding election results and the trends that become evident.
I will NOT be on FOXNews on Election Night but I will be available on my website to offer my ideas and thinking on what is going on. I’ll be on Hannity tonight (Monday) at 9 PM ET and on O’Reilly Wednesday at 8 PM ET. But Tuesday, I’ll be online!
As we all thrill to see our hard work rewarded, I can’t wait to share this evening with you.
…And with your friends, invite them to log on also!!!
P.S. FOXNation.com is back up and running. They have good stuff. Check them out – Go Here.
FOX Nation is also hosting a Tea Party Zone on Election Day – Go Here.
Signs of an unmistakable Republican trend are brightening the chances of a GOP takeover of the US Senate. Yesterday, a new Rasmussen Poll showed Republican Dino Rossi one point ahead of incumbent Senator Patty Murray. The Rossi lead – obviously within the margin of error – came after he had trailed by three points in previous polling.
Most significantly, Rossi led by two points among those who had already voted using Washington State’s early voting option. Murray led by a point among those who had not yet cast their ballots (some of whom would presumably never do so).
Published on TheHill.com on October 26, 2010
As congressmen and senators face the electorate next week, millions of votes will turn on one simple question: Did he (she) take the pledge? The pledge to repeal ObamaCare.
In recent weeks, Democratic candidates have been profuse in their determination to “fix” ObamaCare. West Virginia Gov. Joe Manchin ran an ad saying he was going to repeal “the bad parts of ObamaCare.” With such sleight-of-hand efforts to blunt the GOP’s best issue, the question needs to be put to all incumbents and their challengers: Are you willing to take the pledge?
Here’s the pledge, as formulated by www.theRepealPledge.com:
A Book Review By DICK MORRIS of The New Road to Serfdom: A Letter of Warning to America by Daniel Hannan
From the clutches of European Socialism comes the warning cry of Dan Hannan, a Conservative member of the European Parliament from Britain. Hannan, who achieved celebrity in the United States for his pithy denunciations of statism, celebrates what is magnificent in the American example and warns us against letting it be subsumed by a growing government and Obama-esque socialism.
The Cook Political Report (which is the best there is, but tends to run a little behind) lists 23 Democratic House seats as now likely or leaning Republican. We will win all of those.
And it lists 47 seats now held by Democrats as tossup. I am working in about half of these districts and I believe we will win virtually all of these seats.
That makes 70. Then, he lists 46 Democratic seats as leaning or likely Democrat but not solidly so. That’s where we need to concentrate our fire.
My organization, SuperPacUSA.com is targeting 24 seats from this list in television ad buys now going on the air set to run until Election Day. Each voter will see our ad about 7-10 times, so I think they will help us to win almost all of these races.