Republicans Rebound From Early Vote Deficit

By Dick Morris on October 31, 2022

Last week it appeared that Republicans were not voting early in the midterm elections, leaving the field to the Democrats.

Perhaps because of fear that their votes might be manipulated or disregarded, Republicans generally had decided to wait until Election Day to vote while Democrats dominated the early voting throughout early October.

With 21 million early votes so far this year, a twenty-point gap would have been hard to overcome. But it seemed that more damage was ahead because 56.1 million mail-in ballots had been requested.

But now, after sounding the alarm, Republicans are catching up to Democrats in early voting

On October 25th, things looked pretty bad. Democrats had piled up a twenty-point edge among early voters. 50.4% of the early vote was cast by Democrats white only 30.3 had been voted by Republicans.

Since then, the alarm bells appear to be awakening Republican voters. On October 31, Democrats still led in early voting but their margin as down to 12 points.

By the day before Halloween, 45.0% of early votes had been cast by Democrats and 33.3% by Republicans.

 EARLY VOTING BY PARTY, 2022 
DemocratRepublican
10/2550.3% 30.3%
10/2650.1%30.3%
10/2747.6%31.1%
10/2846.4%32.5%
10/2945.4%32.5%
10/3045.2%33.3%
10/3145.0%33.3%

Source: RPubs-Early Voting 2022 General Election Statistics

In some states, however, the disparity in early voting is still highly problematic.

In Pennsylvania, for example, 780,546 early votes have been cast, 72% by Democrats and only 20% by Republicans. With about 5 million votes expected in the Oz vs. Fetterman race, about one vote in six has already been cast

In Arizona, the situation is better. Out of 855,352 votes already cast, 39.8% were by Democrats while 37.0% were by Republicans.

Good numbers but Pennsylvania better catch up.

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