Biden Would Lose Dem Primary In ’24
If Joe Biden were to face a challenge for the Democratic nomination for president in 2024, he’d likely get shellacked.
A survey by the McLaughlin Group of 1,000 likely voters, conducted on January 19th-24th, 2023 showed Biden drawing only 25% of the vote in a Democratic primary for president.
Michele Obama got 14% and twenty other candidates drew a combined 58% of the vote.
The exact order of finish for the Democratic Primary 2024 was:
| DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY 2024 POLL -- JAN 19TH-24TH, 2023 | |
|---|---|
| Biden | 24 |
| Michelle Obama | 14 |
| Pete Buttigieg | 7 |
| Gavin Newsom | 7 |
| Kamala Harris | 6 |
| Hillary Clinton | 6 |
| AOC | 5 |
| Bernie Sanders | 5 |
| Elizabeth Warren | 4 |
| Beto O'Rourke | 2 |
| Amy Klobuchar | 2 |
| Cory Booker | 1 |
| Jared Polis | 1 |
| Joe Manchin | 1 |
| Tim Kaine | 1 |
| Kirsten Gillibrand | 1 |
Not even Lyndon Johnson in 1968 (LBJ) faced such terrible ratings as he prepared for a possible primary for his re-nomination.
I do not believe Biden can run for re-nomination let alone re-election. The classified document scandal is about metastasize and merge with the Hunter Biden influence peddling scandal in Ukraine.
Apparently, some of the classified documents Biden stored at his home in Delaware — a home in which Hunter lived — concerned confidential classified assessments of the situation Ukraine by US Intel. It’s very easy to see how Hunter might have used that information to encourage the Burisma company, the corrupt Ukrainian energy company to give Hunter’s company $11 million over three years. And then to connect that fee to Hunter’s monthly $50,000 payments to his father.
On the Republican side, McLaughlin’s data is good news for Trump. He beats Biden by five points and DeSantis by twelve (in a two-way race) and by eleven in the larger field.
*** The likely Democratic primary voter subsample within the poll is 442 voters. The subcell has an accuracy of +/-4.7% at a 95% confidence interval. The overall 1,000 likely voter sample has an accuracy of +/-3.1% at a 95% confidence interval. The field dates of the poll were Jan 19th-24th, 2023. All the other numbers are right.
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