THE IMPACT OF TRUMP’S DEFEAT OF THE AYATOLLAHS
In the new asymmetric world of threatened global economic suicide, President Trump has stripped the terrorists of a terrifying weapon in their toolbox; the threat that the collateral damage of their own and the world’s economists’ overreaction to the use of military force might sink the world’s economies.
In our incestuously interconnected economies, the Ayatollahs in Iran and others have been able to threaten the world with the closing of the Straits of Hormuz — that shaving off a few tenths of a point in economic growth would bring disastrous political consequences in our evenly balanced partisan alliances and calculations.
But now a political leader has summoned the courage to defy the threat and prove it to be hollow. By standing up, Trump has, in effect, told a timid world: “bring it on and make my day.”
More than any strategic advantage that will come from calling Iran’s bluff, is the tactical fact that it can no longer threaten global economic suicide.
Just as MAD – Mutually Assured Destruction – held global insanity in check during the Cold War, so Mutually Assured Economic Destruction has threatened us since. But now not any longer because Trump figured out a way to beat it.
By decapitation strikes early in the war, he assured that enemy calculations would at least be sane and that the madmen were dead. Just as nobody was willing to blow up the world during the Cold War, Trump proved that nobody was willing to blow up their civilization by economic suicide.
It took a leader like Trump who had no skin in the game or oil at risk in the Straits of Hormuz to take the chance. But it did and his courage worked.
It was a messy process and the brinksmanship it had to go through caused more than a few migraines, but Trump has brought us through it in great shape.
It was the fate of great writers and creators like Michelangelo and Tolstoy never to have finished their works of art and literature. Now the Donald Trumps of diplomacy may likewise never finish their works of diplomacy. The Gaza peace is not complete and we wait tensely to see if the Straits will remain open. But the corner seems to have been turned and the process of peace begun.
The world owes Donald Trump a great debt.
Dick Morris is a political strategist and author who has advised several U.S. presidents, governors, and mayors over a 40-year career.
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