SANTORUM SURGES

By Dick Morris on December 23, 2011

All along, the Tea Party voters have yet to unite behind a single candidate. They still aren’t united, but in Iowa, there is evidence that Rick Santorum may be surging ahead.

In the Tea Party Patriots (TPP) telephone poll of 23,000 supporters nationally, Newt led with 31% of the vote, followed by Bachmann at 28%, Romney at 20% and Santorum with a surprising 16%.

But on the ground in Iowa, where it counts, Gingrich has gone through a gauntlet of $10 million of negative TV ads sponsored by Romney, Paul, and the others. Without funds to defend himself, he has seen his vote share drop. Ron Paul’s has risen, Bachmann’s has fallen, and Santorum has increased quickly.

Here are the stats from the past three Iowa Rasmussen Polls (Nov 15, Dec 13, and Dec 19)

RASMUSSEN POLLS IN IOWA
Nov 15
Dec 13
Dec 19
Romney
19
23
25
Paul
10
18
20
Gingrich
32
20
17
Santorum
5
6
10
Perry
6
10
10
Bachmann
6
9
6
Huntsman
2
5
4

There has always been a sort of mini-primary among the Tea Party followers among Gingrich, Perry, Bachmann, Cain, and Santorum – the candidates they find acceptable. Gingrich’s and Bachmann’s drop, Cain’s withdrawal, and Perry’s stagnation all contrast sharply with Santorum’s surge.

The former Pennsylvania Senator has been the also ran in the field, the Rodney (I get no respect) Dangerfield of the Republican primaries. But with the lack of poll numbers has come a lack of scrutiny. These days the spotlight can get too hot very quickly. Santorum, whose conservative record is as solid as they come, is benefiting from the fall of Gingrich in a way Bachmann seems unable to do.

Ron Paul remains terrifying. He is really the ultimate liberal in the race. He wants to legalize drugs, repeal the Patriot Act, slash our military spending, pull out of Afghanistan, and remove all limits on abortion. On these issues, he’s way, way to the left of Obama. What makes him a conservative is hard to tell. But, whatever he is, he would be a disaster as the Republican candidate. His bland assertion in the last debate, that “anyone” will beat Obama is both self-serving and inaccurate. He wouldn’t. Anyone who votes for Paul and is not brought up short by his denuding us in our defenses against terrorism and his passivity in the face of Iranian nuclear weapons, has to realize that nominating him is tantamount to re-electing Obama.

Most likely now, Romney will win Iowa and go on to win New Hampshire. But then, a kind of buyer’s remorse may set in as Republicans contemplate a nominee who backs Romneycare and once supported abortion choice. His past apostasies, combined with his religion, may give Newt an opportunity to come back in South Carolina. Then the two of them will slug it out down the road. But they may have company in the person of Rick Santorum.

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Please leave a comment below - I would love to hear what you think! Thanks, Dick
xternal nofollow' class='url'>Balloon Juice » Santorum surges on December 26, 2011 8:13 am

[…] blame me for that headline. Blame Dick Morris, the latest cheerleader for Mr Frothy Santorum. I was going to go with “Awash with […]

  • Elijah Stanfield on December 26, 2011 3:47 pm

    lol! Dick Morris is a joke!

  • Hank Xavier on December 26, 2011 3:54 pm

    You are nuts Morris.

  • Pam Tangredi on December 26, 2011 5:09 pm

    An article of wishful thinking and very little substance, with a very misleading title…but that's okay. Every time one of you comes up with an article like this, Liberty and Peace loving Americans are spurred to actively work for Dr. Paul, to donate money, go out and campaign with boots on the ground. Thank you for helping the cause!

  • Chris Rye on December 27, 2011 2:44 am

    Dude is such a clown.

  • Linda Johnson Treat on December 27, 2011 2:52 am

    On August 29, 1996, Morris resigned from the Clinton campaign after tabloid reports stated that he had been involved with a female prostitute, Sherry Rowlands, as reported by the Washington Post. A New York tabloid newspaper, the Star, had obtained and published a set of photographs allegedly of Morris and the woman on a Washington, D.C., hotel balcony. News of the impending publication broke during the third day of the 1996 Democratic Convention. The Electronic Telegraph reported unverified claims that in order to impress the woman, S. Rowlands, Morris invited her to listen in on his conversations with President Clinton.[9][10][11] It was also alleged he had an illegitimate child from an affair with a Texas woman.[12].

    Morris resigned on the same day that Bill Clinton spoke and accepted the nomination at the Democratic National Convention. In his resignation statement, he said that "while I served I sought to avoid the limelight because I did not want to become the message. Now, I resign so I will not become the issue."[13] In his response, President Clinton praised Morris as a "friend", and thanked him for his years of service. Privately various aides to Clinton were furious that in his resignation statement Morris credited himself with helping the President "come back from being buried in a landslide" and that Morris ended by comparing himself to Robert Kennedy.[14].

    Morris was featured on two consecutive covers of Time magazine. The September 2, 1996 issue, which was released before the prostitute story broke, featured Morris as "The Man Who Has Clinton's Ear."[1] The following week, the cover featured Morris and his wife, Eileen McGann, and the headline read "The Morris Mess: After the Fall."[14].

  • Jerry Landers on December 27, 2011 2:58 am

    Ron Paul takes a stance where he is personally opposed to abortion (sounds good on the surface) but as a liberaterian he has said that if the people of a state wanted abortion he would allow it to be legal. He then favors abortion – you can't say it is murder and then say if everyone else wants it then its okay! Murder is murder whether everyone in the state is for it or not! Simple…don't tell me you are against something really be against it.

  • Ryan Treat on December 27, 2011 2:58 am

    He had a prostitute toe fetish. True story.

  • Jerry Landers on December 27, 2011 3:10 am

    Lisa Favara where do you get your numbers? Best estimates are that there have been 82 drone attacks – so lets say that have of those kill "1 bad person…" then the other half "…kill 1000 innocent people…" – it is not possible t
    hat would be 41,000 innocents killed (not even Code Pink plays that loose with numbers). And again the campaign contributions numbers not even close…please check out things before you throw them out there. I can easily say that today I talked to 10 active duty service personnel and none of them would vote for Ron Paul – so he receives 0% of the military vote (that would be as absurd as the numbers you are throwing around).

  • Mary Allen on December 27, 2011 3:15 am

    I'm a proud member of the teaparty, and have been one since the very first rally, and I am a proud supporter of Rick Santorum. He's consistent, on target on all the pertinent issues. Santorum gets it, he's speaking to the people. We don't want a RINO like Romney, or nuts like Paul.

  • Chris Medders on December 27, 2011 6:15 am

    Ron Paul a liberal? Really Dick are you a reporter with any common sense or knowledge of definitions? Calling Ron Paul a liberal is like calling you a reporter. It just ain't true!

  • Chris Medders on December 27, 2011 6:20 am

    Ron Paul has never talked of Isolationism. Study what you talk about before you type since you espouse cleverness. He has always mentioned non-interventionism as a foreign policy. The policies we are currently following are adversely affecting the world's view of the USA and it is not good at all. Look around at news from other countries if you care to.

  • Spencer Daw on December 28, 2011 4:46 am

    There has been one constant in this race. Romney. Like him or not, he's the GOP's only chance of unseating Obama. The only other viable option would be Jeb. The rest are just too kooky to attract the center. Hard right GOP'ers and Tea Partiers have to come to grips with the Buckley doctrine, vote the the most conervative candidate WHO CAN WIN. See Christine O'Donnell and that nut from Nevada as examples.

  • Antonio Buehler on December 28, 2011 3:02 pm

    So how many civilians should we kill world-wide over the next decade to win on the "cleverness" scale? Should we fund the next Osama Bin Laden or the next Saddam Hussein, like we did in the 1980s?

  • Jim Comfort on December 28, 2011 3:11 pm

    Go go go Mr. Santorum!

  • Santorum Surge? Dick Morris and <b>Mike Huckabee</b> Discuss | NOM Blog « Mike Huckabee Feed « Mike Huckabee for President- News Watch on December 29, 2011 5:34 am

    […] political pundit Dick Morris sees Santorum surging: All along, the Tea Party voters have yet to unite behind a single candidate. […]

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