HOW REPUBLICANS WILL WIN THE SENATE

By Dick Morris on August 30, 2010

It gets tiresome hearing the conventional wisdom say that the Democrats will likely keep control of the Senate. Far from it.

To gain control, Republicans must win ten new seats. An analysis of the latest polling data suggests that Republicans currently hold the lead in eight pick-up states: Pennsylvania, Colorado, Wisconsin, Washington State, Arkansas, Delaware, North Dakota, and Indiana. In a ninth, Illinois, the candidates are tied and, in the tenth – Nevada – Reid is ahead by only one point. And, for insurance, Boxer in California and Gillibrand in New York are both below 50% of the vote. In Connecticut, Blumenthal is only at 50%. That’s a potential pickup of thirteen seats and a likely gain of at least ten (enough for a majority).

Any incumbent who is running at less than 50% of the vote is in serious trouble. It means that a majority of the voters have decided not to vote for him or her. (Asked if you are likely to be married to the same person next year, a vote of “undecided” does not bode well for your marriage).

So here are the numbers:

August 27th Polls

Nevada:

Reid (D) 45 / Angle (R) 44 (Mason Dixon)

With Reid this far under 50%, Angle is likely to win.

August 26th Polls

Florida:

(Currently Republican) Rubio (R) / 40 Crist (I) 30 / Meek (D) 21 (Rasmussen)

So much for Crist!

Pennsylvania:

Toomey 40 (R) / Sestak (D) 31 (Franklin-Marshall)

August 25th Polls

Colorado:

Buck (R) 49 / Bennett (D) 40 (Reuters)

California:

Boxer (D) 49 / Fiorina (R) 44 (Rasmussen)

Boxer has gained a bit, but still in trouble.

Louisiana:

(Currently Republican) Vitters (R) / 51 Melancon (D) 41 (PPP)

Wisconsin:

Johnson (R) 47 / Feingold (D) 46 (Rasmussen)

Illinois:

Giannoulias (D) 45 / Kirk (R) 45 (Rasmussen)

August 24th polls

Missouri:

(Currently Republican) Blunt: 54 / Carnahan: 41 (Rasmussen)

August 21st Polls

Washington State:

Rossi (R) 52 / Murray (D) 45 (SurveyUSA)

August 20th Polls

Arkansas:

Boozeman (R) 65 / Lincoln (D) 27 (Rasmussen)

This is not a typo!

The most likely results are that Republicans win the eight seats in which they now lead and also take Illinois and Nevada for a gain of ten seats and control. They also have a good shot in California and possible upsets in New York and Connecticut.

AddThis Social Bookmark Button
Please leave a comment below - I would love to hear what you think! Thanks, Dick
-powered-campaign-doners-switch-from-dem-to-gop/' rel='external nofollow' class='url'>126 high powered campaign doners switch from DEM to GOP | VotingFemale on September 6, 2010 3:23 pm

[…] “TeaPartyTracker.org”) Dick Morris: THE STIMULUS KICKS IN: HIGHER UNEMPLOYMENT and HOW REPUBLICANS WILL WIN THE SENATE and PARTY TREND HAS YET TO KICK IN and ADVICE TO GOP CANDIDATES: AVOID ADJECTIVES, NOUNS ARE GOOD […]

  • Obama to Union Bosses: ‘they’ are talking about me like a dog (sniff) | VotingFemale on September 6, 2010 4:23 pm

    […] Down With “TeaPartyTracker.org”) Dick Morris: THE STIMULUS KICKS IN: HIGHER UNEMPLOYMENT and HOW REPUBLICANS WILL WIN THE SENATE and PARTY TREND HAS YET TO KICK IN and ADVICE TO GOP CANDIDATES: AVOID ADJECTIVES, NOUNS ARE GOOD […]

  • Have you seen the AnyStreet Video? see it here… | VotingFemale on September 6, 2010 4:46 pm

    […] Down With “TeaPartyTracker.org”) Dick Morris: THE STIMULUS KICKS IN: HIGHER UNEMPLOYMENT and HOW REPUBLICANS WILL WIN THE SENATE and PARTY TREND HAS YET TO KICK IN and ADVICE TO GOP CANDIDATES: AVOID ADJECTIVES, NOUNS ARE GOOD […]

  • Hey Katie Couric? how’s that Conservophobia workin’ out for ya? | VotingFemale on September 8, 2010 10:25 am

    […] Vote For Someone Who Refuses To Debate Dick Morris: THE STIMULUS KICKS IN: HIGHER UNEMPLOYMENT and HOW REPUBLICANS WILL WIN THE SENATE and PARTY TREND HAS YET TO KICK IN and ADVICE TO GOP CANDIDATES: AVOID ADJECTIVES, NOUNS ARE GOOD […]

  • Reid admits he didn’t prevent Nevada economic disaster | VotingFemale on September 8, 2010 11:56 am

    […] Vote For Someone Who Refuses To Debate Dick Morris: THE STIMULUS KICKS IN: HIGHER UNEMPLOYMENT and HOW REPUBLICANS WILL WIN THE SENATE and PARTY TREND HAS YET TO KICK IN and ADVICE TO GOP CANDIDATES: AVOID ADJECTIVES, NOUNS ARE GOOD […]

  • Burning a koran is not a capital offense | VotingFemale on September 8, 2010 1:06 pm

    […] Iranic Juxtaposition Dick Morris: THE STIMULUS KICKS IN: HIGHER UNEMPLOYMENT and HOW REPUBLICANS WILL WIN THE SENATE and PARTY TREND HAS YET TO KICK IN and ADVICE TO GOP CANDIDATES: AVOID ADJECTIVES, NOUNS ARE GOOD […]

  • Obama’s “I suck because of the GOP” speech in Parma Ohio 9/8/2010 | VotingFemale on September 8, 2010 3:22 pm

    […] To Debate Dick Morris: AN EPIC DEM DISASTER and THE STIMULUS KICKS IN: HIGHER UNEMPLOYMENT and HOW REPUBLICANS WILL WIN THE SENATE and PARTY TREND HAS YET TO KICK IN and ADVICE TO GOP CANDIDATES: AVOID ADJECTIVES, NOUNS ARE GOOD […]

  • And what will the Republicans do? « Political Numbness on September 8, 2010 7:19 pm

    […] between 8-12 seats.  The path to retaking the Senate is somewhat trickier than the House however there are those that are adamant it will happen.  Karl Rove, among many others, are also predicting big gains in Gubernatorial and state […]

  • Andy Griffith to Obama: you are my everything (sniff) | VotingFemale on September 9, 2010 5:32 am

    […] HILLARY’S FIRST SHOT and AN EPIC DEM DISASTER and THE STIMULUS KICKS IN: HIGHER UNEMPLOYMENT and HOW REPUBLICANS WILL WIN THE SENATE and PARTY TREND HAS YET TO KICK IN and ADVICE TO GOP CANDIDATES: AVOID ADJECTIVES, NOUNS ARE GOOD […]

  • koran burning; culpable socialist-motivated lamestream media frenzy | VotingFemale on September 9, 2010 12:50 pm

    […] HILLARY’S FIRST SHOT and AN EPIC DEM DISASTER and THE STIMULUS KICKS IN: HIGHER UNEMPLOYMENT and HOW REPUBLICANS WILL WIN THE SENATE and PARTY TREND HAS YET TO KICK IN and ADVICE TO GOP CANDIDATES: AVOID ADJECTIVES, NOUNS ARE GOOD […]

  • Islamic Black Panthers issue warning to Terry Jones: cease radical behavior or else | VotingFemale on September 10, 2010 10:30 am

    […] HILLARY’S FIRST SHOT and AN EPIC DEM DISASTER and THE STIMULUS KICKS IN: HIGHER UNEMPLOYMENT and HOW REPUBLICANS WILL WIN THE SENATE and PARTY TREND HAS YET TO KICK IN and ADVICE TO GOP CANDIDATES: AVOID ADJECTIVES, NOUNS ARE GOOD […]

  • Ground Zero Mosque Imam Rauf Excoriated | VotingFemale on September 10, 2010 1:01 pm

    […] HILLARY’S FIRST SHOT and AN EPIC DEM DISASTER and THE STIMULUS KICKS IN: HIGHER UNEMPLOYMENT and HOW REPUBLICANS WILL WIN THE SENATE and PARTY TREND HAS YET TO KICK IN and ADVICE TO GOP CANDIDATES: AVOID ADJECTIVES, NOUNS ARE GOOD […]

  • WH frustrated; lamestream media told STHU; Socialist Victim Card opportunity lost; Pavlovian Muslim RAGE Boys, not your father’s gay and black communities | VotingFemale on September 12, 2010 1:07 pm

    […] HILLARY’S FIRST SHOT and AN EPIC DEM DISASTER and THE STIMULUS KICKS IN: HIGHER UNEMPLOYMENT and HOW REPUBLICANS WILL WIN THE SENATE and PARTY TREND HAS YET TO KICK IN and ADVICE TO GOP CANDIDATES: AVOID ADJECTIVES, NOUNS ARE GOOD […]

  • Thoughts on a Possible 2010 Republican Congress « Right Cogency on September 16, 2010 9:04 pm

    […] but I think the Republicans are counting their chickens before they hatch. When I read and hear Dick Morris say jubilantly that Republicans will take back control of the Senate, that kind of tells me it is […]

  • Above the Fold AdSense
    Facebook
    Middle First Zone AdSense
    Middle First Zone AdSense
    BSA Sidebar