Republicans will likely keep control of the House unless there is some unexpected momentous event. As of now, it won’t even be that close. And the GOP may not lose much at all.
The results of ten special House elections this cycle show that the media hype about an approaching blue wave that will supposedly sweep the Democrats to power in the House is just that — hype.
In Rasmussen’s polling — the only daily tracking survey of President Donald Trump’s ratings and the only one testing likely voters — Trump has surged from a 44 percent approval rating on July 21 to 50 percent on August 2. Indeed, as the Paul Manafort case neared its trial date and then began, Trump moved from 46 percent to the current 50 percent level.
The Trump administration just proposed freezing fuel efficiency mileage standards at current levels for the 2022-2026 model years.
It is, of course, a truism that good economic news helps the incumbent president in his midterm elections. But this week’s news is better than most and the gains for President Trump could be far greater than the norm.