Romney is on track to win the nomination when the primaries and caucuses are over on June 6th.
Currently, Romney has 498 of the 1,144 he needs to be nominated. He now has 53% of the selected delegates, a clip he has been maintaining since the start of the process. Santorum has 25%, Gingrich 15%, and Paul 7%.
CURRENT DELEGATE COUNT
Romney is very likely to win the following winner-take-all primaries:
LIKELY ROMNEY WINNER TAKE ALL WINS
+ 498 (current Romney)
In addition, Romney will probably win these winner take all states:
Finally, Romney will probably do very well in the following proportional representation states. Some, like New York and Illinois, award most of their delegates as a winner take all by Congressional District .
P.R. State Delegates / Prob Romney
|New York||95 / 80|
|Illinois||69 / 45|
|Maine||24 / 20|
|New Mexico||23 / 15|
Needed to Nominate: 1,144
So, even if Romney loses the winner take all primaries in North Carolina and Pennsylvania and gets clobbered in Texas, Arkansas, Kentucky, Louisiana, and a few other conservative states, he should win the nomination by the time the primaries are over on June 6th.
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