OBAMA’S ISSUES CRUMBLING

By Dick Morris
06.10.2009
Share this article
  • RSS
  • Print
  • Facebook
  • Twitter
  •  email post

Published on TheHill.com on June 9, 2009

At last, there is convincing evidence that Obama’s poll numbers may be descending to earth. While his approval remains high — and his personal favorability is even higher — the underlying numbers suggest that a decline may be in the offing. Even as he stands on his pedestal, the numbers under his feet are crumbling.

According to a Rasmussen poll, more voters now trust Republicans more than Democrats to handle the economy, by a margin of 45-39. Scott Rasmussen notes that “this is the first time in over two years of polling that the GOP has held the advantage on this issue.” Last month, he had the Democrats holding a one-point lead, but they lost it in June’s polling.

And the Democratic leads over Republicans on their core issues are also dropping. Particularly interesting is the Democratic decline over healthcare, from an 18-point lead in May to only 10 points now.

A Gallup poll also confirms that the president’s personal ratings are high, but the underlying data less so. While 67 percent of voters give Obama personal favorable ratings and 61 percent approve of his job performance (Rasmussen has his job approval lower, at 55 percent), they give him much lower ratings on specific issues.

Gallup shows Obama getting only 55 percent approval on his handling of the economy (down from 59 percent in February) and finds that only 45 percent approve of his handling of federal spending while 46 percent approve of his treatment of the budget deficit.

As it becomes clearer that the deficit caused by spending has landed us in a new economic crisis, entirely of Obama’s own making, his popularity and job performance are likely to drop as well.

The old recession — that the public says was caused by Bush — shows signs of winding down. But the new recession and/or inflation — triggered by Obama’s massive deficits — is just now coming upon us.

If Obama refuses to cut back on his spending/stimulus plans (despite convincing evidence that Americans are not spending the money), he has three options:

a) He can raise taxes, which will trigger a deeper recession;

b) He can print money, which will trigger huge inflation;

c) He can pay more interest to borrow money, which will send the economy diving down again.

The blame for these outcomes will fall squarely on Obama’s deficit and spending policies. The fact that Americans are aware of these issues, and already disapprove of Obama’s performance on them, indicates that they will be increasingly receptive to blaming him for the “new” recession.

Interestingly, Obama’s polling is now the exact opposite of President Clinton’s in the days after Monica Lewinsky. Back then, the president’s approval for handling specific issues was his forte, while his job approval remained high but his personal favorability lagged 20 points behind. Ultimately, it is a politician’s performance on specific issues that determines his electability. Personal favorability withers in the face of issue differences. Obama is about to find out that you cannot rely on image to bolster your presidency when the underlying issues are crumbling.

All this data suggests that Obama might run out of steam just as he gets to his healthcare agenda. As unemployment mounts, month after month, and Obama’s claims of job creation (or savings) ring hollow, it is possible that he will not have the heft to pass his radical restructuring of the healthcare system. The automaton Democratic majority may pass it anyway, but it will be a one-way ticket to oblivion if they do.

Related articles:

  1. WHEN WILL OBAMA OWN THE RECESSION?
  2. OBAMA SOWS SEEDS OF DEMISE
  3. GOP STRONG ON ECONOMY
  4. OBAMA FEELS HEAT IN POLLS
  5. OBAMA MUST AVOID CLINTON’S MISTAKE





AddThis Social Bookmark Button
Email This Post Email This Post

    Comments

    1. Amandae on June 10, 2009 6:54 am

      It was and is a matter of time before the lies caught up with Obama.

      The man is dangerous and clueless.

      Every despot in the world is mocking him.

      Geitner (sp) was mocked in China and yet he tells us otherwise.

      The Chinese are not happy with our spending spree and they will outsmart ‘ the Frat boys’.

    2. » Blog Archive » OBAMA’S ISSUES CRUMBLING on June 10, 2009 7:53 am

      [...] According to a Rasmussen poll, more voters now trust Republicans more than Democrats to handle the economy, by a margin of 45-39. Scott Rasmussen notes that “this is the first time in over two years of polling that the GOP has held the advantage on this issue.” Last month, he had the Democrats holding a one-point lead, but they lost it in June’s polling.  Read the rest here… [...]

    3. Engineer on June 10, 2009 8:45 am

      This presidency is like the old short story, The Emperor Has No Clothes On;(i.e., the mainstream media keeps telling him/us how wonderful he is). His talks ring hollow without any substance and his actions remind me of a pouting child. The most laughable was signing off on a 1.3 trillon dollar budget, nearly 1 trillion in stimulus, wanting to pass a 2 trillion dollar health care budget and then says we are spending to much (i.e., trying to blame Congress or whomever is convenient at hand).

    4. jy22077 on June 12, 2009 11:21 am

      Testing….

    5. jy22077 on June 12, 2009 11:29 am

      testing

    6. jy22077 on June 12, 2009 11:31 am

      Obama’s Days are Numbered!

      puzo1.blogspot.com/

    7. jy22077 on June 12, 2009 11:32 am

      Obama has been indicted!

      americangrandjury.org/

    8. jy22077 on June 12, 2009 2:03 pm

      Obama IS a US Citizen BUT IS NOT a Natural Born Citizen.
      people.mags.net/tonchen/birthers.htm
      3. Why do birthers think Barack Obama is not eligible to be President?
      Birthers believe Barack Obama is not a natural born citizen and, for that reason alone, he is not eligible to serve as President. They say that, in order to be a natural born citizen, you must meet two requirements:

      You must be born in the United States; and
      Both of your parents must be U.S. citizens at the time of your birth.
      According to birthers, it does not matter how your parents became U.S. citizens. They could have acquired citizenship at birth. They could have been immigrants who became citizens through naturalization. At one time in American history, a woman’s citizenship was that of her husband. A woman became a U.S. citizen automatically when she married a man who was already a U.S. citizen. For you to be a natural born citizen, your parents had to be citizens at the time of your birth, but they did not have to be natural born citizens.

      21. If President Obama’s birth certificate shows conclusively that he was born in Hawaii, would it end the eligibility controversy?
      Definitely not! President Obama has stated publicly that his father was not a U.S. citizen. According to the birthers’ understanding of history and law, if his father was not a U.S. citizen, President Obama cannot be a Constitutional natural born citizen, regardless of where he might have been born. If President Obama was born in Hawaii, he could be regarded as a statutory natural born citizen, but he would not necessarily be a Constitutional natural born citizen.

      Regardless of what his birth certificate says, Obama’s presidential eligibility will never be settled or resolved, until the Supreme Court decides whether the U.S.-born children of non-U.S.-citizen parents are Constitutional natural born citizens.

    9. OBAMA’S ISSUES CRUMBLING at DickMorris.com | Democrat = Socialist on June 12, 2009 2:24 pm

      [...] via OBAMA’S ISSUES CRUMBLING at DickMorris.com. [...]

    10. obama honeymoon is over | The Fun Husband on June 12, 2009 6:34 pm

      [...] Dick Morris addthis_url = ‘http%3A%2F%2Fthefunhusband.com%2F2009%2F06%2Fobama-honeymoon-is-over%2F’; addthis_title = ‘obama+honeymoon+is+over’; addthis_pub = ”; 1 views New Feature – Please Rate This Post: (No Ratings Yet)  Loading … [...]

    11. Maggie's Farm on June 15, 2009 4:35 pm

      Monday evening links

      Urban coyotes. h/t, Jungleman
      AVI’s theory on not hitting squirrels with your car
      Walpin gives the inside story. It’s an ugly story. Imagine if Bush…
      Hayek: Why I am not a Conservative. h/t, Neptunus
      Immigrants from redistributionist count…

    12. Obama's Stock Falling - SECTalk Forums on July 9, 2009 10:57 am

      [...] read… OBAMA’S ISSUES CRUMBLING By Dick Morris 06.10.2009 Published on TheHill.com on June 9, 2009 At last, there is [...]

    Only subscribers to Dick Morris' '08 Play-By-Play may post comments. You must be logged in to post a comment.

    Name (required)

    Email (required)

    Website

    XHTML: You can use these tags: <a href="" title=""> <abbr title=""> <acronym title=""> <b> <blockquote cite=""> <cite> <code> <del datetime=""> <em> <i> <q cite=""> <strike> <strong>

    Share your wisdom.

    Note: Comments all in CAPS will not be approved.