DICK MORRIS’ ‘08 PLAY-BY-PLAY
Volume 1, #32
August 18, 2008
OBAMA TEACHES US: HOW TO LOSE A CONVENTION
For the first time in recent memory, the Democratic and Republican conventions will be held on consecutive weeks. The Democratic gathering, in Denver, will begin on Monday, August 25 and run through Thursday, August 29. The Republican […]
DICK MORRIS’ ‘08 PLAY-BY-PLAY
Volume 1, #31
August 7, 2008
THE VICE PRESIDENCY
Obama has a limited range of pain or gain in his choice of a vice president. With his highly personal and charismatic candidacy, there is little he stands to gain or lose in choosing a vice president.
Unless […]
WHY HILLARY LOST
It started with the rulebook. Obama read it, Hillary never did. She, who prided herself on her hands-on experience in two previous presidential elections, assumed that 2008 would be like all the others: that one candidate would defeat the other in either one bruising, pivotal primary –or in a series of […]
BARACK OBAMA: HOSTAGE TO HISTORY
When John Kerry dedicated the 2004 Democratic National Convention to a celebration of his role in fighting the war in Vietnam, he became a hostage to the historical reminiscences of every soldier who served with him in the war. Their collective […]
WHAT’S THE ENDGAME?
Are the Democrats ever going to nominate a candidate?
Yes.
Will it be before the convention?
Yes.
When?
By July.
Will the Party be torn apart?
No.
Will it be united and harmonious going into November?
Yes.
Here’s how it will go down:
1. THE REMAINING PRIMARIES
Despite her noisy pretentions to the contrary, Hillary will fall far short of a decisive victory in the late […]
DICK MORRIS’ ‘08 PLAY-BY-PLAY
Volume 1, #27
March 25, 2008
THE SUPER DELEGATES WON’T STEAL IT
The latest USA Today/Gallup poll asked the key question: If Hillary Clinton isn’t among pledged delegates who were elected by the voters but prevailed with the help of super delegates, would that result be flawed […]
DICK MORRIS’ ‘08 PLAY-BY-PLAY
1. THE DEMOCRATS
The Race is Tied Now, but Obama Will Win
I believe that Barack Obama will win the Democratic nomination for president.
Since 2004, I have predicted that Hillary Clinton would be the inevitable nominee, but I now believe that she will most likely lose to Obama.
After the Maine caucuses on Sunday, February […]
THE DEMOCRATS:
HILLARY V OBAMA
Three major factors dominate the Democratic contest: gender, age, and race.
GENDER
Hillary’s surprising victory in New Hampshire placed gender squarely back at the center of the contest. Women voters were the ones who made the big difference: Hillary carried single women by 16 points and married women by 11, while losing men by […]