HOW THE GOP WILL WIN THE SENATE

By Dick Morris And Eileen McGann
02.8.2010

If the Republican Party wins every senate seat in which it now holds a lead, according to Rasmussen’s polls, it will capture eight Democratic seats while holding all of its own. The two remaining pickups, to assure control, could be in Indiana where former Senator Dan Coats may run against Senator Evan Bayh and in California.

The two remaining pickups, to assure control, could be in Indiana where former Senator Dan Coats may run against Senator Evan Bayh and in California. Even if Coats does not run, former Congressman John Hostettler is only behind Bayh by 44-41. And, in California, former Hewlitt Packhard CEO Carly Fiorina is also only three points behind Senator Barbara Boxer.

(This assumes that former Wisconsin governor Tommy Thompson takes on Senator Russ Feingold).

Here’s the data:

In these eight races, the Republican is ahead:

State
Contest
Latest Polling
Date
Delaware
Castle v Coones
Castle +29
Jan
ND
Hoeven v unknown
Hoeven +20 (v Dorgan)
Dec
Ark
Lincoln v 4 opps
Repub (Baker) +19
Feb
Nev
Reid v 3 opps
Repub (Tarkanian) +8
Feb
Colorado
Norton v Bennet
Norton +14
Feb
Penn
Toomey v Specter
Toomey +9
Jan
Illinois
Kirk v Giannoulias
Kirk +6
Feb
Wisconsin
Thompson v Feingold
Thompson +3
Jan


And, in these two states, the results are close:

State
Contest
Latest Polling
Date
California
Boxer v 3 opps
Boxer (v Fiorina) +3
Jan
Indiana
Bayh v Hostettler
Bayh +3
Jan

If Republicans take all ten seats, they take control in the Senate.

In addition strong challenges may be shaping up in New York against Kirsten Gillibrand and in Washington State against Patty Murray.

Gillibrand, appointed to fill Hillary’s seat, is very vulnerable, both in a primary against former Tennessee Democratic Congressman Harold Ford and in a general election. If a strong candidate emerges, she and/or Ford could be defeated.

And in Washington State, innovative businessman (and millionaire) Paul Akers is likely to run against Patty Murray. The Washington State senator only won with 55% of the vote last time, a poor performance for a three term incumbent. Akers’ company takes new technologies, buys them, and then uses them to create jobs. He should give Murray a tough race which he could end up winning.

But the message of Massachusetts is that any Republican can beat any Democrat anywhere. So don’t count out former Congressman Rob Simmons’ race against Connecticut Attorney General Richard Blumenthal or any possible candidate against Oregon’s Ron Wyden and New York’s Chuck Schumer.

The Republicans will win the Senate (and the House) and might win it with a few seats to spare!









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Comments

  1. Dick Morris explains how the GOP will win the Senate in the November elections : Fire Andrea Mitchell! on February 8, 2010 4:49 pm

    […] seats as he’s predicting, but its an interesting thing to watch for this year. Of course. Dick Morris also has a lot more experience in these situations than say, I do.  That being said, Morris says […]

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  3. HOW THE GOP WILL WIN THE SENATE « ObamaToons.com on February 8, 2010 9:23 pm

    […] If the Republican Party wins every senate seat in which it now holds a lead, according to Rasmussen’s polls, it will capture eight Democratic seats while holding all of its own. The two remaining pickups, to assure control, could be in Indiana where former Senator Dan Coats may run against Senator Evan Bayh and in California. (more…) […]

  4. piccadillyjim on February 8, 2010 10:51 pm

    I have given up on Oregon ever joining in with changing direction. Ron Wyden will never lose as long as there is a Portland. To prove this I only need to point out how Propositions 66 and 67 were carried by the voters in the big city. This is how we got Merkeley. I live in southern Oregon and in all frankness we might as well not even go to the polls.

  5. Sarah Palin, The ‘Palm Reading,’ ‘Balloon Head’ — Attacks Obama’s TelePrompTer | PoliticalArticles.NET on February 9, 2010 2:05 am

    […] Morris join other right-wing media in defending Palin’s use of “crib notes” on her […]

  6. 2010 Predictions - Elections - Page 11 - City-Data Forum on February 9, 2010 5:00 am

    […] Republicans will take between 60 and 100 seats in the house and between 9 and 12 in the Senate. HOW THE GOP WILL WIN THE SENATE By Dick Morris And Eileen McGann […]

  7. Tea Party Voters now shift gaze on PA-12 Dist House Seat vacated by Murtha (D-PA) « VotingFemale on February 9, 2010 8:08 am

    […] Morris: HOW THE GOP WILL WIN THE SENATE and THE OBVIOUS DEFICIT-CLOSERS and BEHIND OBAMA’S PHONY DEFICIT […]

  8. 2010 Predictions - Elections - Page 12 - City-Data Forum on February 9, 2010 2:04 pm

    […] Republicans will take between 60 and 100 seats in the house and between 9 and 12 in the Senate. HOW THE GOP WILL WIN THE SENATE By Dick Morris And Eileen McGann and this says it all All we have to do is wait. LOL […]

  9. Can GOP Win The Senate? Dick Morris Thinks So | American Conservative Values Journal on February 9, 2010 4:19 pm

    […] under: 2010 Elections, Politics — Cato Uticensis @ 5:18 PM   Journal Home Page Dick Morris honestly believes the GOP can win the Senate this year and with a few seats to spare. While I […]

  10. Dinocrat » Blog Archive » Warning! on February 9, 2010 5:09 pm

    […] Dick Morris: If the Republican Party wins every senate seat in which it now holds a lead, according to Rasmussen’s polls, it will capture eight Democratic seats while holding all of its own. The two remaining pickups, to assure control, could be in Indiana where former Senator Dan Coats may run against Senator Evan Bayh and in California… […]

  11. Dick Morris says Republicans could take control of Senate in November | Liberal Whoppers on February 10, 2010 5:48 am

    […] Morris says that based on current Rasmussen polling, the Republicans could pick up 10 seats: If the Republican Party wins every senate seat in which it now holds a lead, according to […]

  12. Must Know Headlines 2.10.2010 — ExposeTheMedia.com on February 10, 2010 7:21 am

    […] How The GOP Will Win The Senate  Share and Enjoy: […]

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  18. Sarah Palin brings down another one; Palin stalking Progressive Troll Eric Robinson makes a total ass out of himself « VotingFemale on February 11, 2010 9:23 am

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  22. Get a life, Professors’ Ogletree and Obama; a person’s race imparts immunity? lol « VotingFemale on February 14, 2010 1:26 pm

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    […] duck. At his core Obama is a communist and on that he will never give an inch. From Dick Morris How the Republicans Will Win the Senate. It’s a good read from someone who possesses very good political insight. Now watch the left jump […]

  24. Obama; Toxic to fellow democrats - Politics and Other Controversies - Democrats, Republicans, Libertarians, Conservatives, Liberals, Third Parties, Left-Wing, Right-Wing, Congress, President - Page 2 - City-Data Forum on February 15, 2010 1:28 pm

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