Media commentators and pundits heard what they wanted to hear in Hillary’s speech on Saturday. Her endorsement of Obama and her “suspension” of her campaign seemed to indicate that it is all over. No its not.
Hillary has not released her delegates. She still has 1,639.5 pledged, elected delegates, within reach of the 2118 needed to be nominated if the super delegates break in her favor.
So, for now Hillary is deferring to Obama, bowing to party pressure. But don’t be deceived. If Obama makes a mistake and begins to drop in the polls or some other tape comes out or a new pastor emerges with more racial rhetoric, Hillary still has her 1,639.5 delegates. Count on her to back Obama in public, but look for her aides and supporters, and perhaps her husband, to raise the question of whether or not the results of the primaries should not be revisited in light of the trouble in the Obama candidacy. If Obama continues to stumble, look for the chorus to swell and crescendo into a dull roar.
Three months is an eternity in politics. With Obama having to stand up to McCain, particularly if the Republican bests him in the forums they may hold over the summer, this thing is not yet settled.
It would take a lot for the super delegates to reverse field and give Hillary the nomination. It probably won’t happen. But Hillary has not thrown in the towel. She has assumed a waiting position, circling high overhead looking down and waiting for some mishap to hit the Obama campaign so she can swoop down and pick up the nomination.
Hope springs eternal and you are deluding yourself if you think Hillary has given up.
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I agree……..Hillary is still in the game. With her campaign debts to be paid, 18 million voters and her 1640 delegates in her purse, she is not close to concession. I think that Hillary is going to work the Obama campaign twofold; one for Obama’s benefit and the public; the second for Hillary, keeping in what she alreadys has and trying to build more in reserve. I think that Hillary is going to “surprise” the convention with one all-out last attempt (delegate larceny). Her speech was what she was expected to say and do “publically”….but her true intentions remain hidden…..and she will until the last available moment..then she will strike….and with vengenance. The thing about a “threshold move” is that it is all or nothing….if you suceed, you are the winner; but if you mis-judge the target…you don’t get another chance…and that will place the last nail in her political campaign, if not her politcal career….and it is the strongest nail.
What she should have done when she left Washington was to go back to her home state Illinois and campaign for junior senator. She probably would have won……taken Obama completely out of the picture before he could even get started. It is what it is and it will be interestig to see how long the chicken hawk can fly…their rate for capture are not very successful…..and ususally not on the first attempt….and this is even for a “young chicken hawk.”